“There is no dynamic,” notes Director of Science Bo Nancy

If fieldwork for candidates for a deputy seat in the National Assembly has already begun, then Monday, May 30, two weeks before the start of the polls, will be the official campaign of the People’s Republic of China. legislative elections.

abstinence weight

campaign for it There is no dynamic. Notice François Laval, Director of the Beaux Sciences Campus in NancyAnd the Tensions subsided after the election of Emmanuel Macron. The main reason, he says, lies in our political structure that makes presidential elections “queen” While that “If the President of the Republic does not have a parliamentary majority, he no longer has any power.” What to fear from low participation, as it was already the case in 2017 (49.7% in the first round, 42.64% in the second round).

This scenario will benefit first of all the analyzes of the presidential majority of François Laval, which its voters “CSP+, a little bit bigger, two-thirds of them will vote, while we’re on the third level at the RN and NUPES levels.” However, the stakes are high: will Emmanuel Macron succeed in obtaining an absolute majority? What is the weight of NUPES and RN?

Reminder In Moselle, 8 out of 9 outgoing MPs come from a majority of LREM / ModemOnly Fabien de Filippo (LR) represents the opposition in his constituency Sarrebourg-Château-Salins.

complication

The proliferation of candidates and complex situations can sometimes discourage some voters. Thus, if NUPES presents 9 candidates in Moselle, then under the agreement between LFI, PS, Greens and PCF, the Socialist Party of Moselle decides to support 4 opponents against these same candidates.

Another example, in the Third District: the nomination of outgoing LREM Representative Richard Luger, who faces a Zimmerman/Aldrin pair also claiming the support of a presidential majority. “There are national electoral agreements, and then they have to be applied at the local level, without taking into account the local reality. There is a real problem.” Again, for François Laval, this should be in the interest of the main parties and investor candidates. “Those who go to vote will stick to historical traits.”