It’s no exaggeration to say that tomorrow’s US election could change the face of the world if Republicans win both houses, polls suggest.
Midterm elections are often bad for a president’s ruling party. The position Democrats find themselves in is not exceptional in itself.
On the other hand, the Republican Party today has nothing to do with what it was a few years ago. The Republican Party has become a gathering of Americans who worship Donald Trump.
Those who think that Republicans can pick a candidate other than Trump for the presidential nomination need only see recent polls: Trump leads with about 50% of the vote among Republican supporters, while Ron DeSantis, his hottest rival, won nearly 25% of the vote. vote.
Without Trump, the Republican Party would not have become a Trump cult. Trump is a marketing genius.
He understood that American voters stumbled upon three policy issues on which the Democratic Party could not renew its platform.
Immigration, WOKIA, and the declining purchasing power of ordinary Americans are at the heart of the current campaign. Faced with it, abortion and the war in Ukraine are only two minor issues.
In the context of American society, these three issues fuel the feeling of white Americans that they are losing their power to various minorities and that these minorities will apply to them a racial medicine similar to the medicine to which they have been exposed for more than two centuries.
Republican solutions are naive, selfish, racist, undemocratic and, moreover, ineffective. The tax cuts they are calling for will increase social inequalities. The concentration of electoral and legal power in their hands would lead to a kind of apartheid.
No longer a reliable partner
The rise of the Republicans and their potential control of both houses will send the same signal to the rest of the world that Trump has sent during his tenure: the United States is no longer a reliable partner.
Ukraine is no longer their top priority, NATO is too expensive for them, democracy is not so important, and dictatorships can become good partners.
Under these conditions, it is quite clear that the nature of the war in Ukraine will change. The countries of the European Union will be torn more than ever between their own interests and those of the Union.
Even policy toward China can change, despite the relative agreement between Democrats and Republicans toward it. Trump loves quick profits a lot.
As for Canada, it is subject to the increasingly powerful influence of American analysis networks. Ultimately, this cultural imperialism is likely to be favored by conservative parties in Canada.