An asteroid could hit Earth on Valentine’s Day 2046

The asteroid has a 0.18% chance, or a 1 in 560 chance, of hitting Earth that day. The rock is about 49.29 meters in diameter, slightly larger than two tennis courts, and orbits the sun about every 271 days.

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The asteroid, which NASA is naming 2023 DW, is currently rated at one on the Turin Hazard Scale, which measures impact risks. The scale ranges from zero to 10, with zero meaning no chance of hitting the ground and 10 meaning a catastrophic collision is certain.

This text is a translation of an article from CTV News.

According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), a level 1 on the Turin scale means that the asteroid is “a common detection for which passing near Earth would not pose an unusual hazard.” CNEOS says current calculations show the odds of an asteroid hitting Earth are “extremely unlikely and need not cause public concern or public interest.” The new observations will likely lead scientists to set the probability of impact at a level of 0.

2023 DW will have nine more chances to collide with Earth. However, NASA calculates that there is at least a 99.99% chance that all of these opportunities will be missed.

“We are tracking a new asteroid called 2023 DW, which has a very low chance of hitting Earth in 2046. Often, when new objects are discovered, it takes several weeks of data to reduce the uncertainty and adequately predict their year-to-year orbits. In the future, NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office said in a tweet Tuesday. “Orbit analysts will continue to monitor asteroid 2023 DW and update projections as new data arrives.”

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About ten years ago, an SUV-sized meteor exploded over Russia, injuring nearly 1,000 people and causing about $33 million in damage.

— Text by Joey Chini for CTV News

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About the Author: Octávio Florencio

"Evangelista zumbi. Pensador. Criador ávido. Fanático pela internet premiado. Fanático incurável pela web."

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